What are economic cycles? Why is it important to understand economic cycles? What are the main causes of economic cycles? What are the key indicators of economic cycles? How can you predict a ...

Making sense of the economy requires more than just tracking the latest data—it demands a framework for connecting the dots. The good news is that the economy doesn’t move in random spurts—it follows ...

We use multivariate unobserved components models to estimate trend and cyclical components in gross domestic product (GDP), credit volumes, and house prices for the USA and the five largest European ...

Thomas Kevin Swift has packed insights gathered over a long career in industrial economics into A History of American Business Cycles, a book released earlier this year. The book tackles large volumes ...

Coincident indicators move in step with the economy, providing real-time insights into economic activity. Click to read.

The synthesis of the dynamic factor model of Stock and Watson (1989) and the regime-switching model of Hamilton (1989) proposed by Diebold and Rudebusch (1996) potentially encompasses both features of ...